Влияние социальной помощи на раннее деторождение во Вьетнаме: роль миграции
Научная статья
Для цитирования
Хоанг Х. Т., Нго Ф. Т. С., Нгуен Л. Т., Ле Й. Т. Б., Тран Ч. К., Ле П. Ч. Влияние социальной помощи на раннее деторождение во Вьетнаме: роль миграции // ДЕМИС. Демографические исследования. 2024. Том 4. № 1. С. 132-145. DOI: https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.9 EDN: QGHAFY
Аннотация
В статье анализируются взаимосвязи миграции, раннего деторождения и социальной помощи детям на кластерном уровне. Используя данные исследования «Показатели достижения целей устойчивого развития для детей и женщин Вьетнама», проведенного Главным статистическим управлением (GSO) и Международным чрезвычайным фондом помощи детям при Организации Объединенных Наций (ЮНИСЕФ) в Социалистической Республике Вьетнам в 2020–2021 гг. и применяя модель Тобита, получены результаты, указывающие на то, что увеличение доходов домохозяйств при получении социальной помощи ограничит вероятность принятия членами семьи решений о миграции, и тем самым снизит раннее деторождение. Ожидается, что вышеназванное исследование станет основой для принятия решений по совершенствованию политической системы и программ социальной помощи, направленных на несовершеннолетних, особенно на группу несовершеннолетних мигрантов с целью сокращения раннего деторождения.
Ключевые слова:
социальная помощь, миграция, раннее деторождение, Вьетнам, модель Тобита
Литература
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2. Scott, S. Early Marriage and Early Childbearing in South Asia: Trends, Inequalities, and Drivers from 2005 to 2018 / S. Scott, P. H. Nguyen, S. Neupane, P. Pramanik et al. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 2021. Vol. 1491, Issue 1. Pp. 60–73. DOI 10.1111/nyas.14531.
3. Mullin, A. Children, Vulnerability, and Emotional Harm. Oxford : Oxford University Press. 2014. Pp. 266–287. DOI 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199316649.003.0012.
4. Ben-Arieh, A. Multifaceted concept of child well-being / A. Ben-Arieh, F. Casas, I. Frønes, J. E. Korbin. Amsterdam : Springer Netherlands, 2014. Pp. 1–27. DOI 10.1007/978-90-481-9063-8_134.
5. Ezra, M. Rural Out‐migration in the Drought Prone Areas of Ethiopia: A Multilevel Analysis / M. Ezra, G. E. Kiros. International Migration Review. 2001. Vol. 35, Issue 3. Pp. 749–771. DOI 10.1111/j.1747-7379.2001.tb00039.x.
6. Tongruksawattana, S. How Do Rural Households Cope with Shocks? Evidence from Northeast Thailand / S. Tongruksawattana, H. Waibel, E. Schmidt. In German Development Economics Conference, Hannover 2010. 2010. No. 53.
7. Nguyen, L. D. Rural–Urban Migration, Household Vulnerability, and Welfare in Vietnam / L. D. Nguyen, K. Raabe, U. Grote. World Development. 2015. Vol. 71. Pp. 79–93. DOI 10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.11.002.
8. Bustamante, J. A. Extreme Vulnerability of Migrants: The Cases of the United States and Mexico. Migraciones internacionales. 2011. Vol. 6, No. 1. Pp. 97–118.
9. Caldwell, J. C. Determinants of Rural-Urban Migration in Ghana. Population Studies. 1968. Vol. 22, Issue 3. Pp. 361–377. DOI 10.1080/00324728.1968.10404945.
10. Berhanu, B. War, Famine, and Female Migration in Ethiopia, 1960–1989 / B. Berhanu, M. White. Economic Development and Cultural Change. 2000. Vol. 49, No. 1. Pp. 91–113. DOI 10.1086/452492.
11. Erulkar, A. S. Migration and Vulnerability among Adolescents in Slum Areas of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia / A. S. Erulkar, T. A. Mekbib, N. Simie, T. Gulema. Journal of Youth Studies. 2006. Vol. 9, Issue 3. Pp. 361–374. DOI 10.1080/13676260600805697.
12. Odebode, S. O. Vulnerability of Teenage Girls to Pregnancy in Ibarapa Central Local Government Area, Oyo State, Nigeria / S. O. Odebode, O. A. Kolapo. Journal of International Women’s Studies. 2016. Vol. 17, Issue 4. Pp. 122–131.
13. Lara, D. Exploring How Residential Mobility and Migration Influences Teenage Pregnancy in Five Rural Communities in California: Youth and Adult Perceptions / D. Lara, M. J. Decker, C. D. Brindis. Culture, Health & Sexuality. 2016. Vol. 18, Issue 9. Pp. 980–995. DOI 10.1080/13691058.2016.1150514.
14. Brindis, C. The Associations Between Immigrant Status and Risk-behavior Patterns in Latino Adolescents / C. Brindis, A. L. Wolfe, V. McCarter, et al. Journal of Adolescent Health. 1995. Vol. 17, Issue 2. Pp. 99–105. DOI 10.1016/1054-139X(94)00101-J.
15. Agudelo-Suárez, A. A. A Metasynthesis of Qualitative Studies Regarding Opinions and Perceptions about Barriers and Determinants of Health Services’ Accessibility in Economic Migrants / A. A. Agudelo-Suárez, D. Gil-González, C. Vives-Cases et al. BMC Health Services Research. 2012. Vol. 12, Article 1. Pp. 1–13. DOI 10.1186/1472-6963-12-461.
16. Nordling, V. Bordering Through Destitution: The Case of Social Assistance to Irregularised Migrants in Malmö, Sweden / V. Nordling, M. Persdotter. Nordic Social Work Research. 2021. Vol. 11, Issue 2. Pp. 155–168. DOI 10.1080/2156857X.2021.1940246.
17. Beam, E. A. Unilateral Facilitation Does Not Raise International Labor Migration from the Philippines / E. A. Beam, D. McKenzie, D. Yang. Economic Development and Cultural Change. 2016. Vol. 64, Article 2. Pp. 323–368. DOI 10.1086/683999.
18. Adhikari, S. Should I Stay or Should I Go: Do Cash Transfers Affect Migration? / S. Adhikari, U. Gentilini. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper. 2018. No. 8525. 25 p.
19. Imbert, C. Costs and Benefits of Seasonal Migration: Evidence from India / C. Imbert, J. Papp. Coventry : University of Warwick. Department of Economics, 2018. 47 p. ISSN 0083-7350.
20. Belloc, F. International Economic Assistance and Migration: The Case of Sub‐Saharan Countries. International Migration. 2015. Vol. 53, Issue 1. Pp. 187–201. DOI 10.1111/j.1468-2435.2011.00686.x.
21. Stecklov, G. Do Conditional Cash Transfers Influence Migration? A Study Using Experimental Data from the Mexican PROGRESA Program / G. Stecklov, P. Winters, M. Stampini, B. Davis. Demography. 2005. Vol. 42. Article 4. Pp. 769–790. DOI 10.1353/dem.2005.0037.
22. Viet Nam Sustainable Development Goal indicators on Children and Women 2020-2021. Ha Noi : General Statistics Office, 2021. 761 p.
23. Witte, A. D. Estimating the Economic Model of Crime with Individual Data. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 1980. Vol. 94, Issue 1. Pp. 57–84. DOI 10.2307/1884604.
24. Keane, C. Drinking and Driving, Self-Control, and Gender: Testing a General Theory of Crime / C. Keane, P. S. Maxim, J. J. Teevan. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency. 1993. Vol. 30, Issue 1. Pp. 30–46. DOI 10.1177/0022427893030001003.
25. Reece, W. S. Charitable Contributions: New Evidence on Household Behavior. The American Economic Review. 1979. Vol. 69, No. 1. Pp. 142–151.
26. Gujarati, D. N. Econometrics by example. New York : Bloomsbury Publishing. Palgrave Macmillan, 2011. 371 p.
27. Coxhead, I. Migration in Vietnam: New Evidence from Recent Surveys / I. Coxhead, C. V. Nguyen, L. H. Vu. SSRN Electronic Journal. 2015. No. 2. 35 p. DOI 10.2139/ssrn.2752834.
28. Furstenberg Jr, F. F. The Children of Teenage Mothers: Patterns of Early Childbearing in Two Generations / F. F. Furstenberg Jr, J. A. Levine, J. Brooks-Gunn. Family Planning Perspectives. 1990. Vol. 22, No. 2. Pp. 54–61. DOI 10.2307/2135509.
29. Carlson, E. D. The Impact of International Migration upon the Timing of Marriage and Childbearing. Demography. 1985. Vol. 22, No. 1. Pp. 61–72. DOI 10.2307/2060986.
30. Cuong, N. V. The Impact of Migration and Remittances on Household Welfare: Evidence from Vietnam / N. V. Cuong, V. H. Linh. Journal of International Migration and Integration. 2018. Vol. 19, No. 4. Pp. 945–963. DOI 10.1007/s12134-018-0571-3.
31. Michelmore, K. The Effect of Etic Exposure in Childhood on Marriage and Early Childbearing / K. Michelmore, L. M. Lopoo. Demography. 2021. Vol. 58, No. 6. Pp. 2365–2394. DOI 10.1215/00703370-9506903.
32. Plane, D. A. Demographic influences on migration. Regional studies. 1993. Vol. 27, Issue 4. Pp. 375–383. DOI 10.1080/00343409312331347635.
Статья
Поступила: 26.12.2023
Опубликована: 29.03.2024
Форматы цитирования
Другие форматы цитирования:
APA
Хоанг, Х. Т., Нго, Ф. Т. С., Нгуен, Л. Т., Ле, Й. Т. Б., Тран, Ч. К., & Ле, П. Ч. (2024). Влияние социальной помощи на раннее деторождение во Вьетнаме: роль миграции. ДЕМИС. Демографические исследования, 4(1), 132-145. https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.9
Раздел
Социальная демография
